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5GW Links - 9 May 2008
Cross-posted from PurpleSlog.
You may find these 5GW-related links to be interesting.
Planning for a new conference 2008 Boyd/5GW/RC…The 5GW looks to be the John Robb defined 5GW…http://www.d-n-i.net/dni/2008/04/28/rfi-2008-boyd5gwrc/
—
So, the new 5GW blogger skilluminati seems to have a “unique” different PoV:
I am unlike most 5GW bloggers in that I’m not worried about the future of the US as a global superpower. I’m writing for an audience very much like myself: post-nationalism, post-racism, post-religion human beings with no respect for authority, national borders or even the laws of physics.
[…]
5GW is power.
Specifically, 5GW is dedicated individuals exercising their power to achieve their own goals at the expense of everyone who gets in their way. I think this kind of clarity is missing from the discussion because the occult dimension of power has no place in a respectable debate, from military theory to politics to history. For thousands of years, small groups of humans using ritual magick have been controlling nations, waging wars and engaging in economic and psychological warfare. One occult warfare master who does get mentioned in military circles is Hassan i Sabbah, long a muse of William S. Burroughs and Robert Anton Wilson.
I’m open to the argument that I’m only engouraging a plague of lone psychopaths declaring war on the world, but my own 5GW practice is informed and indebted to D.J. Kilcullen, author of the 28 Articles, which you should probably read right now if you haven’t already. Article 26 states: “Build your own solution — only attack the enemy when he gets in the way.”
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http://www.politicalfriendster.com/
This seems to be a conspiracy monger site that uses social networking software to connect (in wiki fashion) people, organization, and events together.
—
Here is 5GW being defined in a completely different way:
3GW (Third Generation Warfare) is warfare between nation-states. 4GW is warfare from non-State actors against a State ( al Qaeda vs the US), and now 5 GW is warfare by a person against a State actor. Should I assume that when robots are deployed there will be a 6GW and later a 7GW when those robots are self-directed?
—
Thunderpig on The Psychology of Conspiracy Theories:
I have tried to reason with some of these people, and found myself frustrated at their universal unwillingness to accept science, and even photographic evidence (even when identifying engine parts from a 757 inside the Pentagon for a 9/11 nut), and eventually, I was accused of being “on the payroll” of X (the Illuminati, Israel, ZOG, Karl Rove), or of being a complete idiot.
—
Phil excerpts the book On Political War:
Political war is the use of political means to compel an opponent to do one’s will, political being understood to describe purposeful intercourse between peoples and governments affecting national survival and relative advantage. Political war may be combined with violence, economic pressure, subversion, and diplomacy, but its chief aspect is the use of words, images, and ideas, commonly known, according to context, as propaganda and psychological warfare.
This book presents an overview of the elements making up political war.
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A good idea for a component of the Military-Industrial-SysAdmin Complex
Unless you’re a military history aficionado you probably don’t know about the Philippine Constabulary. That would be a pretty good template for long-term expat leadership after NATO/ISAF and much of OEF declares victory and leaves. U. S. Department of Justice ought to get into the war. DOJ, not DOD, should contract with somebody like Dyncorp to provide contractor cadre for the ANP. Not PMT’s but actual Deputy District Chiefs and such, with real command authority, on four- or five-year contracts at damn good pay. They would be the men charged with extending the writ of Kabul to corners of Afghanistan where that writ has never run before. They would be the men who would reduce the corruption to an acceptable standard for that part of the world. Let the contractor hire cops and soldiers from all over the Free World, subject to screening, and give interested U. S. service members leave without pay to take these jobs.
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http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/showpost.php?p=34960&postcount=4
This is kind of funny; on my own site this morning, I put down the first paragraph of a piece where I’m going after three “Peacetime Doctrine” Strategic Theories (“Soft Power”, 4GW/5GW, and RMA) that seem to think that Sun Tzu, Clausewitz, and Forrest are either fundamentally wrong or obsolete. I think that they are useful to the extent that they demonstrate areas of negligence or point to areas that require further development in Strategic Thought, but no more.
BTW, I don’t think Sun-Tzu is at odds with 4GW/5GW.
—
http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/showpost.php?p=35174&postcount=20
Those who fault 4GW for its short comings have a lot of ammunition to support their arguments, but one could argue that the whole generational method to describe warfare is what is at faulty. It assumes that one generation replaces another, but the reality is that 1GW through 5GW are additive, they add to the repatoire of options available. The first step to clarifying the debate is doing away with the generations of warfare, then we won’t have to waste time defending them, and instead can focus on the real issues at hand.
[…]
The nature of warfare and conflict can change as technology and political systems evolve. 5GW is supposed to describe the empowered individual, which is a possibility that can’t be denied unless you live under a rock. An intelligent deviant can to some extent now, and to a much greater extent later, will be able to wreck various degrees of havoc with information technology, bio-engineering, etc., but then we argue can one man declare war? or is it just a crime? One man spreading bio-engineered small pox is a national security threat whether it is a war or a crime, and key take away isn’t whether this is 1GW, 2GW, or 5GW, but that we have a security problem to solve.
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http://thenorfolkblog.blogspot.com/2008/01/on-developments-in-strategic-thought.html
Fourth Generation Warfare Theory (4GW), and its offspring Fifth Generation Warfare Theory (5GW), both conceive of War manifesting itself in both matter and form according to the circumstances latent at different times throughout History, with particular attention to Modern History. An interaction of Social Structures and Conditions, Ideology, Technology, and Economics etc., over the course of Time results in more or less discernable Stages, or “Generations”, in an Evolution of War. 4GW Theorists maintain that in the present Stage of Modern History, War manifests itself in a form in which War is waged mainly by Groups of Non-State Actors, usually motivated, at least in part, by Ideology. 5GW Warfare Theory goes so far as to propose that develops in and resort to, either Biotechnology or Nanotechnology on the one hand, or violence engaged in by lone Individuals with (usually) Ideological motives on the other, constitute the matter and form of the next Stage of War to come. In any case, both 4GW and 5GW Theorists propose that High-Intensity, Mechanized Conventional War between State Actors constitute the matter and form of an earlier Stage of War, known as 3GW, and moreover, that that Stage of history, and therefore that type of War, may now even be more or less past us.
This is not the way Dreaming 5WG defines it.
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http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2005/07/20/dreaming-5th-generation-war.html#comment-21509
5GW will be conducted by individuals, armed with of-the-shelf technology, conducting lone wolf attacks on targets that present minimal risk of detection and counter-force response.
As an example, I would say a sustained string of power-plant accidents - electricity distribution failures - pipeline breaches - or sub station fires will indicate we are under a 5GW assault, without being able to identify the origin of the attacks.
A second example would be a high attrition rate among major names in Anbar or the Delta - motor vehicle accidents, heart attacks, food poisoning, snipers, chipping away at what little formal organization is there.
I think the defining characteristic of 5GW operations will be surprise declarations of victory, without any indications hostilities had commenced.
Commenter Snowden groks 5GW.
—
Lastly, Elmo Goes to War. Godspeed Elmo, Godspeed.
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Too bad about Chet RIchards joining the John Robb hype cycle.
Let’s hope this misinformation can be countered.
Most of these mentions of 5GW are at odds with what we discuss here at D5GW and have a couple of common themes.
1) 5GW is somehow innately tied to SEIs and targets only states.
2) The Generations of Modern Warfare and XGW are one and the same.
I see both of these as wrong.
So what can be done about it?
“Too bad about Chet Richards joining the John Robb hype cycle.”
Will anybody in the D5GW camp be at the conference? I suspect not. I won’t be.
“So what can be done about it?”
Some some brainstorming here:
I could ignore 5GW-not-D5GW-version. Or I could post them under a “This is not 5GW” Subject.
For those individual posts that we do find, we could make a point of commenting upon an engaging with them as best we can.
We could do the same with GoW vs XGW.
We could be more vocal in putting down the GoW…but I am not sure how much payoff there will be in that.
I have an XGW primer draft written out on a legal pad that I will type up and post is a few days. We can work off and refine that and then release it on D5GW and promote it at are own sites. We can use the link then when commenting upon other people blog posts. Getting other like Zenpundit, Coming Anarchy, and Small Wars journal to discuss it will help.
The next step I have is to do a 5GW primer draft release. We can work off and refine that and then release it on D5GW and promote it at are own sites. We can use the link then when commenting upon other people blog posts. We need to get this discussed at war and strategy blogs. Maybe a submittal to digg/reddit/slashdot/Instapundit my get some attention.
Perhaps invite a discussion group or blog roundtable on the Primer.
Can we create our own virtual conference by phone or second life (CGW,hello?)
Adding an entry to Conflict Wiki (or trying Wikipedia again) based on the 5GW Primer and the XGW Primer might be helpful.
My next planned 5GW post are to start running down the 18 or so possible/proto/historical 5GW efforts I think I have identified. Giving concrete examples might help with understanding.
When we are happy with the XGW Primer and 5GW Primer, then we should look to have them made into a small book (to lend credibility).
I should look back at 5GW podcast thing again. Shlok was going to do something, but I don’t know where that is at. Also his 5GW is not our 5GW. The podcast (maybe using skype for our phones calls) would allow for different discussions.
While I don’t know what if any effect will come form my interview for Covert Radio (which hasn’t been posted yet), we should consider trying to get other podcast appearances to discuss theory and then give an example.
We should have a few post and invite other writers to further extend Dan’s M-I-SA Complex / Virtual DOEE / Sys Admin Coprs for a Shrink-the-Gap-and-connect-the-world 5GW.
We should have a few 5GW planning games for Dreaming 5GW readers to see if that gains interest - maybe one per month (with judges/readers deciding who had the best plan).
Examples:
1) You are pro-native Hawaiian in 2008. Describe a 4GW and/or 5GW Campaign to gain Hawaiian Independence.
2) Star Wars 5GW (After Return of the Jedi): You are a loyal member of the empire. The rebels have just destroyed the 2nd death star and killed the empire. How do yo do a 5GW to keep the empire together an d not let the hippy rebels ruin things.
3) Star Wars 5GW (Before A New Hope): Describe a 5GW to take down the empire and bring back the republic.
4) Describe a 5GW campaign to take down the Mullahs in Iran but keep the somewhat America-friendly Iranian public from hating the USA.
5) Castro has retired. Dumb US politicians are keeping cold war policies. Describe a 5GW campaign change targeting the USGOVs policies to turn Cuba into a democratic-friendly state.
6) You are a hardcore libertarian (small “l”). Describe a 5GW campaign to make the US and the West more libertarian friendly.
7)You are a hard core true believing Marxist. Open revolution ain’t going to happen. What is your plan for the US?
8) Describe a 5GW campaign to bring the Mexican States into the US.
9) You are part of a small group of science fiction reading engineers who are concerned about an Asteroid collision on earth. How do you get the US GOV to get an anti-asteroid capability, given normal politics hasn’t worked?
10) You are a crazy anti-human fanatic. Humanity must be destroyed to save the earth. How would you use 5WG to get closer to your goal.
11) Describe a 5GW to turn Russia into a US friend.
12) The 5GW takedown of OPEC.
There may be other ideas…and better ideas…that what I have for now.
Nice roundup. I liked the SEI theme too, as if each Generation moves down levels of analysis from 3GW forward down to the individual at 5GW. I might suggest its primarily about ideas rather than technology, which is more secondary.
I’ve been working on a paper that discusses 5GW and connects it to counterinsurgency and IR Constructivism. A Primer or a Book specifically devoted to the subject would be great to cite as a primary source of the idea (the profs still frown on blog posts). I’d love to read it and post on it. Also good are the planning scenarios, they remind me of wargames maybe?
I’m going to track down emails and send out a copy of the paper, if you’re a contributor to D5GW and don’t receive one soon (like a couple days), please email me.