Iran and 5GW

Sorry about that. I’d meant to cross post here but the original post was a last minute deal. I’ll have it up here tonight.

Interesting bit of thought that came about in reading your AQ goes 5GW post. This snippet from A. al Z’s letter:

“To improve the image of the resistance in society, increase the number of supporters who are refusing occupation and show the clash of interest between society and the occupation and its collaborators. To use the media for spreading an effective and creative image of the resistance.”

5GW might well be the only gradient of warfare that one belligerent, looking to attain a single grand strategy (or not so grand strategy, perhaps) would wage on both it’s enemy and its base. The base being, in the case of AQ, the Iraqi populace or in terms of a state endeavor, it’s own populace.

No probs.

For me, the similarities between what you posted and the potential al-Qaeda 5GW plans revolve around the way all actors within a sphere might be used against each other. If the AQ letter was authentic, it showed that they were contemplating “expanding” the war by nudging various opponents to fight one another. E.g.,

2. Drowning the Americans in another war that will engage many of their forces.

&

4. To entice Iran towards helping the resistance because of its need for its help.

& especially:

The question remains, how to draw the Americans into fighting a war against Iran? It is not known whether American is serious in its animosity towards Iraq, because of the big support Iran is offering to America in its war in Afghanistan and in Iraq. Hence, it is necessary first to exaggerate the Iranian danger and to convince America and the west in general, of the real danger coming from Iran, and this would be done by the following:

1. By disseminating threatening messages against American interests and the American people and attribute them to a Shi’a Iranian side.

2. By executing operations of kidnapping hostages and implicating the Shi’a Iranian side.

3. By advertising that Iran has chemical and nuclear weapons and is threatening the west with these weapons.

4. By executing exploding operations in the west and accusing Iran by planting Iranian Shi’a fingerprints and evidence.

5. By declaring the existence of a relationship between Iran and terrorist groups (as termed by the Americans).

In fact, some analysts have questioned the purported anti-American focus of al-Qaeda, suggesting that AQ really has Shia Islam, and particularly Iran and Iran’s allies, as their primary target (for now.)